
Hi fellow trader,
How's your trading so far. After the big gain on Tuesday ( FOMC minutes), I had some small profits for Wednesdays and Thursday. ( around $300 -- $ 500), market was not really moving, and I was happy that I was not making a loss. I will spare you the trouble of looking at these not so great trades.. but, bear in mind that it is not everyday that you get to win a few grands from the market. Sometimes you even make a loss. Ok, enough of caveats... let's examine this trade now..
The announcement of the Non Farm Payrolls at 8:30 am gave the market bullish sentiments.
according to briefing.com:
Non-farm payrolls, the most scrutinized portion, rose a less than expected 108K; analysts had expected a 200K increase. Sustained payroll growth near 200K per month is expected for 2006, and that pace is key for consumer spending. The unemployment rate ticked slightly lower to 4.9% while hourly earnings rose 0.3% (consensus 0.2%) and the average work week remained 33.7 hours. In its initial response, stock futures have jumped higher. While the non-farm data was below expectations, strong revisions to last month's data have helped futures trade.
Whatever... I was monitor the market during the announcement and anyone could see that the market was reacting favorably to the announcement. You don't need to be an expert analyst to know that.
Market opened at 9:30 am with a 5 point gap up. Experience tells me that such gaps are very likely to close. I was expecting a rebound upon the closing of gap as the pass few days had been very strong on the upside. However, my MACD indicators ( proprietary, not shown in pic look to DAY TRADE EMINI FOR REGULAR PROFITS for a complete discussion) were not faring welling, showing a ranging market scenario, I decided to wait. Remember, PATIENCE is one of the most important characteristics of successful traders.
My chance came at 10:24 when NQ ( Emini NASDAQ 100 Futures) rebounded heavily after closing the gap. I long 1 contract at 1725 and another 4 at 1731 and at the same time I set a limit order to exit all 5 contracts at 1740. However, if NQ did not cross the 1735 resistance line formed at the opening price, I was prepared to exit. Fortunately, NQ crossed 1735 with a 4 point white candle, this gave further conviction that NQ shouldn't have any problem hitting 1740. As expected, at 12:30, all my contracts were sold and I pocketed $1020.